How the GOP’s Groyper Fringe Became Its Future

The rise of Nick Fuentes and the GOP’s radicalization reflects decades of intellectual groundwork and the material decline that pushed a generation toward conspiracy-laden populism.

Nick Fuentes is simply a signpost of a shift that began decades earlier, as right-wing dissidents built a vision of far-right politics ready to take over when the material conditions ripened. (Zach D. Roberts / NurPhoto via Getty Images)

“The Republican Party . . . they’re atheists, gay, feminists. We need to rally the base against the establishment,” said white nationalist leader Nick Fuentes in an October 27 YouTube video that now holds over six million views. “The base is extremely conservative, extremely anti-left. . . . If we don’t conserve the demographics, forget the rest.”

Sitting across the table was Tucker Carlson, still among the most popular conservative pundits in the country, nodding along with Fuentes’s assessment.

“Worrying about who lives in your country — is that really too extreme?” Carlson asks incredulously. “You’re clearly ascendant. They tried to silence you, and it hasn’t worked.”

Carlson, arms folded and head cocked, is in full performance mode, seated in a wood-paneled cabin and costumed in relaxed-fit flannel. Since Carlson’s termination from Fox News in 2023, his brand has gotten more extreme as he has devolved into conspiracy theories about everything from chemtrails to 9/11 to Israel. Carlson’s appeal is in his effusive bluntness: Why can’t we talk about demographics? Is it a crime to say “Jewish”? Why don’t they want us asking questions?

Carlson wasn’t simply boosting Fuentes, nor was he engaged in some neutral exercise in free expression. The act of hosting functioned more as quiet validation, a signal that Fuentes belonged within the bounds of acceptable debate.

Fuentes’s appearance had been hinted at for weeks, coming shortly after he appeared on the most popular YouTube show on Earth: Candace Owens’s. The two spent years at odds, ever since Fuentes’s first real boost came when his “groyper” audience trolled Turning Point USA events for their tacit Zionism. Today the tension between them seemed more a product of their brand-driven internet celebrity than any deeply held ideological beef — and this was on full display, as not only did they agree, but Owens often outflanked Fuentes to his right.

“You’re saying things that a lot of conservatives already think, but they don’t want to admit it,” Owens told Fuentes. “The establishment doesn’t want to deal with voices like yours, but your generation is the movement now.”

They agreed that a shadowy and diabolical cabal was controlling world affairs and that it likely had a Jewish face; that the border needed to be closed and traditional Christian authority reinstated and the Left mercilessly crushed — not treated as opponents but as blood enemies.

Fuentes has been making the rounds, from Glenn Greenwald’s Rumble broadcast to the post-liberal reactionary Red Scare podcast. But while those appearances attracted considerable attention, Fuentes offered little new; he was simply saying what much of the MAGA pundit class was already inclined to agree with.

Despite emerging from the young conservative movement, bred on Mark Levin and PragerU, Fuentes has become one of the most popular white nationalists of the decade. He quickly fell from grace in mainstream conservativism over his opinions on Israel (and Jews) and entered the alt-right. Yet he always maintained a familiar America First, MAGA-friendly, and, importantly, Christian aesthetic, which kept him positioned for crossover appeal when the alt-right imploded.

By 2019, he had rallied his groypers to try to steal attention from Charlie Kirk by heckling him: How could he be “America First” when he was bought and sold by a foreign power? In 2020, after being kicked out of the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), he launched the America First Political Action Conference, which hosted figures like Michelle Malkin and Marjorie Taylor Greene. Despite facing constant repudiations and deplatforming, he has maintained a relatively profitable career from his hours-long Rumble livestreams and supporter donations.

But Fuentes will never be a GOP leader, nor has he ever really attempted to be. His success, like that of much of the post-alt-right, is better measured in whether he shifted the Overton window of conservative opinion. And whether or not Fuentes has been the linchpin of the party’s change over the past decade, the GOP today looks much more like Fuentes’s brand of American First nativist populism than the “compassionate conservatism” neoconservatives once used to whitewash aggressive foreign policy and tax cuts for billionaires.

As mainstream publications try to reckon with Fuentes’s increased influence, many are getting the cause and effect backward. Fuentes is simply a signpost of a shift that began decades earlier, as right-wing dissidents built a vision of far-right politics ready to take over when the material conditions ripened.

The Roots of Reaction

The change dominating political discourse the past decade is simply the more visible tail end of a much longer, and global, reconstitution of reactionary power. When William F. Buckley coalesced the American conservative movement in the 1950s around his magazine National Review, it was more a hodgepodge of various ideas than a singular and coherent ideology. There was an old right that was historically aristocratic, isolationist, and openly bigoted, unafraid to justify social hierarchies in gendered, racial, or naturalistic terms. But Buckley’s “acceptable right” muted this somewhat and instead centered the emerging free-market consensus, hawkish foreign policy, and a form of Christian moral puritanism, now articulated in the language of individual responsibility rather than the old right’s appeals to group hierarchy. The conservative movement, even in its Buckleyite form, always had a far-right ideological stratum sitting beneath it. But because it was vying for an electoral future and had to make its case in the early years of the civil rights movement, a different set of arguments was foregrounded, and relationships with big business were preferred.

The Right exploded when evangelicals were politicized by school desegregation and abortion. This coalesced into the moral majority, a rightist voting block that ultimately secured the 1980s right-wing ascendency and a twelve-year White House run. But while the Reagan-era conservative establishment built a network of think tanks, the far-right grew dissatisfied with its moderate leadership. In the 1980s, this took the form of paleoconservatism, a concept coined by academic Paul Gottfried for a cohort of right-wingers drawing on old right traditions. Their politics included elements of neo-Confederatism, anarcho-capitalism, agrarianism, and what they euphemistically called an interest in sociobiology — often a stand-in for race science in their milieu. Gottfried and his friend, fellow paleocon Sam Francis, developed theories about modern politics and how the American working class could be shifted to the right.

Gottfried critiqued what believed was a neoconservative-controlled GOP, which accepted the welfare state as a given and failed to successfully counter liberalizing, globalist influences. Over the twentieth century, he argued, a “managerial state” had taken over — one that operated not for everyday Americans, but for a particularly disconnected class of elites. The liberal therapeutic state, in this view, had become a totalitarian system suppressing traditional community identity — the inherited cultural loyalties that would not willingly be subsumed by immigration, progressive values, or global trade. The alternative to this managerial entity, Gottfried claimed, was cultural particularism, nationalism, and an organic social hierarchy anchored in group identity rather than what he saw as corrosive individualism. He viewed modern egalitarian mass democracy as inherently coercive, since it empowered managerial elites, and believed that a nativist national conservatism could undo America’s leftward drift.

Francis was always more radical, and more explicitly racialist, than Gottfried. He saw the party’s future in something called the “Middle American Radicals,” or MARs. The MARs were often Midwesterners, or Southerners from the American middle — neither destitute nor affluent — who saw America losing its soul and were ready for a radical break with the status quo. Francis largely agreed with Gottfried about the technocratic state and drew heavily on James Burnham’s critique of the “managerial class” of technocrats he believed controlled modern society. Francis believed these elites were subverting popular control in favor of corporate capitalism by using multiculturalism, globalization, and social liberalism to destroy the bonds of the organic American (white) nation.

Against the Managerial State

The egalitarian social policy didn’t persuade MARs, who saw elites as only caring about the very poor and the very rich. MARs wanted to rebuild the system in their own image. “The strategic objective of the New Right must be . . . the localization, privatization, and decentralization of the managerial apparatus of power,” wrote Francis in his 1993 book, Beautiful Losers. The starting point would be the end of “mass immigration” since Francis, who became increasingly racialist as the years went on, saw demographic change as a ploy by the ruling class to exploit Middle America.

Both Francis and Gottfried floundered, in part because they were quickly excised from polite conservatism. When the white nationalist conference American Renaissance first launched in 1991, Francis was among its first speakers; he remained connected to that milieu until his death. By the mid-1990s, he had been fired from the Washington Times and expelled from mainstream American politics.

Gottfried, however, maintained a fringe, though influential, connection to popular conservatism.  In 2008, he gave a speech in at the far-right H. L. Mencken Club’s conference, arguing for an anti-egalitarian “alternative right,” a label he intended as a critique of the neocon-dominated GOP. One attendee, Richard Spencer, a former American Conservative editor, embraced the term and soon launched AlternativeRight.com. Gottfried maintained ties with Spencer for years, even as Spencer took over the National Policy Institute, a nonprofit originally established by Francis’s ally William Regnery II, the heir to the Regnery Publishing fortune.

Francis’s ultimate contribution, despite his continued status as an underground legend in right-wing circles, lies in how his description of MARs arguably became reality in 2015 — ten years after his death — when Trump appealed to a class resembling the MARs in his “Make America Great Again” campaign. Trump’s base came from that demographic, and conspiracy theories paved their pathway to populism — channeling fears of financial and social instability into support for right-wing policies under the guise of working-class politics.

Gottfried became more relevant as his brand of conservatism entered policy circles; with Chronicles Magazine (where he serves as editor in chief) and institutions influenced by his thinking — including the Claremont’s Institute’s conservatives — began to shape broader right-wing currents.

“I think the next generation will be strongly influenced by paleoconservatism,” Gottfried told me in 2023. “I know I have an influence on them.” The National Conservatives have now taken a largely pro-Trump stance, but unlike the MAGA movement more broadly are still interested in creating professionalized political operations capable of long-term planning.

Together, the MAGA movement, MARs, and the post-paleoconservative National Conservatives emerged resulted from the inability of the institutional Republican Party to respond to social shifts and the 2008 financial crash. For years, party apparatchiks had seen declining returns with young voters and minorities, who formed the Democrats’ base. The MAGA movement became the rank-and-file folk populism Francis envisioned, while the National Conservatives offered a more institutional path for establishment Republicans to transform, guided by Gottfried’s ideas. This dual track became the route for young people to the right: institutions followed, and they remade the party from the inside out.

Groypers in the Tent

But what made Fuentes unique was that he remained ahead of the curve. Fuentes’s experience of conservative excommunication was one Francis and Gottfried had experienced decades earlier. Francis was influential on Fuentes when he entered the movement — as he told Owens — and Gottfried had helped set up the intellectual framework of dissent that Fuentes inherited. For both Gottfried and Francis, the greatest struggle wasn’t with the Left but with the conservative establishment who had “purged” the “real right.”

“It’s people like me, it’s people like Peter Brimelow, people like Pat Buchanan, Jared Taylor, Sam Francis, Paul Gottfried, going back down the ages, going back down nearly a hundred years,” said Fuentes, following his first YouTube deplatforming. “That’s the conflict.” If the paleocons were defined by their exclusion from the Republican mainstream, Fuentes now cast himself as the paragon of the persecuted truth teller, excised by a conservative movement that was betraying the wishes of its base.

When the alt-right collapsed, Fuentes had already cultivated a persona built to survive. He spoke the language of the MARs and framed his white nationalism as “American Nationalism.” Groypers began as outsiders, but as controversy after controversy revealed, they were quickly entering organizations such as Turning Point USA, positions within the broader conservative movement, and, eventually, Republican politics itself. Across conservative social media, and even some official channels, thinly veiled alt-right memes circulate as a kind of online currency. When the Department of Homeland Security X account recently posted a racist “moon man” meme emblazoned with the sentence “life after all criminal aliens are deported,” Richard Spencer remarked that the number of “groypers currently working in the government shouldn’t be underestimated.”

It is, ironically, Fuentes who may lose from this situation. His appeal rested on offering something his competitors would not. But if mainstream Republican figures like Tucker Carlson now provide similar racial provocations without the overt white nationalist baggage, what distinguishes Fuentes from the rest of the pack?

The same dynamic was on display when former Klan leader David Duke won a state legislative seat in Louisiana before running competitive races for both Senate and governor. “Take a hard look at Duke’s portfolio of winning issues and expropriate those not in conflict with GOP principles,” said Pat Buchanan, echoing an observation Francis himself had made. Buchanan built his 1990s political runs by porting over a more respectable version of Duke’s message and was unapologetic about doing so.

If Buchanan restated Duke in polite terms, Trump did the same in a far more impolite register. And to a degree, Fuentes is the Duke of this moment, advancing the model developed by figures like Francis and Gottfried at a time when the GOP they once critiqued is moving closer to their vision. And just as Duke didn’t invent his slice of the Republican Party — he inherited it — the GOP has moved closer to the worldview Nick Fuentes embodies, not because he converted the base but because he reflects a part of it. There are millions of Nick Fuenteses now.