The Ruling Class Isn’t Worried About Inflation
With the passage today of the $2 trillion stimulus bill, deficit-phobia appears to be waning in Washington. But it’s not because lawmakers have been won over to redistributive policies — it’s because they think the working class is too weak to set off inflation.

President Joe Biden at the White House in Washington, DC, 2021. (Mandel Ngan / AFP via Getty Images)
Say what you will about him, but Barack Obama was consistent. On the campaign trail in 2008, he was already firing up crowds with the promise that “we will all need to tighten our belts.” Upon taking office, he reminded everyone, “Americans are making hard choices in their budgets, and we’ve got to tighten our belts in Washington as well.” Even when, in his 2015 budget request, he belatedly adopted the rhetoric of anti-austerity, he still promised that everything would be “fully paid for.”
By comparison, Joe Biden sounds like Keynes himself. “The biggest risk,” he has said, “is not going too big, it’s if we go too small.” The stimulus bill passed today is equivalent to around 9 percent of GDP, more than one and a half times more than the Obama stimulus.
Can the change be explained by new ideas? Perhaps the austerity was a sincere but mistaken belief. But the Biden shift does not really depend on new ideas per se. Back in 2009, Council of Economic Advisers chair Christina Romer recommended bigger stimulus and fought to get Obama to stop publicly calling for Washington to “tighten its belt.” Different ideas were right there in the White House, and if the president hadn’t been busy discussing Edmund Burke with David Brooks he might have heard them.