Josh Shapiro Is a Terrible Choice for VP

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro is perhaps the top contender to be Kamala Harris’s running mate. But Shapiro would be an awful selection, with a history of alienating and antagonizing core party constituencies and caving to pressure on major issues.

Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro holds a news conference in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. (Hannah Beier / Bloomberg via Getty Images)

As Vice President Kamala Harris decides who will join her on the Democratic Party’s 2024 presidential ticket, one man’s name continues to loom over the debate: that of Josh Shapiro, the first-term governor of Pennsylvania and the odds-on favorite to land the role.

It’s a situation that has concerned a number of progressives, starting with those who believe Israel’s conduct in Gaza is an urgent moral crisis the Democratic ticket must be prepared to address in ways Joe Biden has not been. Shapiro, who is Jewish and has strong ties to Israel, has criticized Benjamin Netanyahu — a position now safe for even the most staunchly pro-Israel Democratic politicians — but he’s cheapened that criticism by both ceaselessly supporting Netanyahu’s war effort and denigrating those in his state who have spoken out against it.

None of this is new for Shapiro, who has over the course of his public life (and, it turns out, before it) shown alarmingly little regard for both Palestinians and First Amendment rights where Israel and Palestine are concerned. As Pennsylvania’s attorney general, Shapiro backed a push to use the state’s anti–Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions (BDS) law to punish Ben & Jerry’s after the company announced it would stop selling its ice cream not even in Israel proper, but strictly in Israeli settlements in Palestine that are illegal under international law. “BDS is rooted in antisemitism,” Shapiro wrote at the time. “I expect Commonwealth agencies with jurisdiction to enforce the Act.” Given the extent to which anti-BDS laws have been used as a blueprint by right-wing forces to attack everything from so-called critical race theory to climate action, the episode raised questions not just about Shapiro’s Israel politics but also about his willingness to embrace right-wing campaigns where he finds it personally convenient.

As David Klion pointed out in the New Republic shortly following Harris’s elevation to the top of the ticket, that trend has only intensified during Shapiro’s time as governor. As early as September, prior to the Hamas attack of October 7, Shapiro denigrated the Palestine Writes literature festival held at the University of Pennsylvania as “hateful” and said he’d been in contact with the university’s then president, Liz Magill, to urge her to develop a plan so “all students can feel safe on campus.” The festival, an annual celebration of Palestinian literature directed by the widely acclaimed author Susan Abulhawa, featured appearances from such noted threats to student safety as Pulitzer Prize winner Viet Thanh Nguyen and Pink Floyd front man Roger Waters.

The Nation described the backlash against the literary gathering as “absurd,” a brazen two-pronged attack on Palestinians and the freedom of the university, and it was only a precursor of things to come. Following Magill’s testimony before a House subcommittee in which she, inelegantly but not wrongly, refused to commit to policing anti-Israel speech, Shapiro leapt at the chance to participate in another blatant right-wing attack on academic freedom and institutions by calling Magill’s testimony “absolutely shameful.” He suggested that the university’s leaders “need to meet, and meet soon” to determine whether Magill’s testimony represented the values of the institution. Magill resigned just days later; Harvard’s Claudine Gay, similarly pilloried for her testimony, resigned a few weeks after that.

Given that backdrop, Shapiro responded to the spring campus protests over the war on Gaza in exactly the way you might imagine. He argued in a New York Times interview that universities “are willing to let certain forms of hate pass by and condemn others more strongly,” again drawing a false equivalence between criticism of Israel and antisemitism and baselessly asserting that the peaceful student encampment at the University of Pennsylvania was a threat to student safety. In a May speech in Pittsburgh, Shapiro called on the university to disband the encampment and “restore order and safety on campus,” which the university did a day later.

Shapiro’s backers within the Democratic Party have suggested the progressive animus toward Shapiro is a result of antisemitism, which is, on its face, absurd. Much of the Left supported a Jewish candidate for president in both of the last two open Democratic presidential primaries, and progressives have a much more positive view of another Jewish vice-presidential contender in Illinois’s J. B. Pritzker. Furthermore, many Jewish students have been on the front lines of the campus movements against the assault on Gaza that Shapiro has so zealously condemned.

Nominating Shapiro, while Israel is actively executing what the United Nations has said is likely a genocide, would be an unmistakable signal about how little Palestinian lives continue to matter to the people at the top of the Democratic Party. No one expects that Harris will choose an anti-Zionist running mate, but it seems reasonable, especially at a moment in which fewer than two in ten Democrats approve of Israel’s actions in Gaza, to select someone who can show at least a modicum of understanding for student protesters and uncommitted Democratic primary voters attempting to do what little is in their power to stem the atrocities their country bears so much responsibility for perpetrating. It seems all the more reasonable given that, for months, Harris and her team have been signaling that they are not as callous as Biden with regard to Palestinian lives.

That, at least, is a bar someone like Minnesota governor Tim Walz has met. In an appearance on CNN on the evening of the Minnesota presidential primary in March, Walz complimented uncommitted voters as “engaged” and said they should be making their voices heard. “Take them seriously,” Walz said. “Their message is clear: that they think this is an intolerable situation and that we can do more, and I think the president is hearing that.”

Vouchers and Taxes

While other contenders have not spoken as favorably about the protest movement as Walz has, they have not gone out of their way to antagonize the movement like Shapiro. This pattern is not restricted to Israel: on several other issues, Shapiro has needlessly positioned himself to the right of mainstream Democratic values.

The most notorious example is Shapiro’s push for school vouchers. After accruing a considerable amount of political capital by reopening Interstate 95 just twelve days after a portion of it collapsed in Philadelphia, Shapiro spent the next portion of the summer pushing a Republican-led bill to create taxpayer-funded spending accounts for families in areas with poor-performing public schools to use at private schools instead.

The proposal predictably outraged teachers’ unions, and Shapiro ultimately vetoed the program after House Democrats refused to approve a budget that included any funding for vouchers. Some Democrats in Pennsylvania saw the time and energy spent on the voucher proposal as a tremendous waste, given what might have been possible in the aftermath of Shapiro’s post-I-95 popularity. Others were simply perplexed at what might have driven him to support a voucher proposal in the first place.

According to reporting from Spotlight PA, Shapiro’s embrace of school vouchers was relatively newfound last year. The outlet found no evidence that Shapiro had ever publicly supported the idea of a voucher program prior to his campaign for governor. But his ties to the leading lights of his state’s pro-voucher movement date back more than a decade: during his run for attorney general, the Philadelphia teachers union rescinded its endorsement of Shapiro after he accepted a $100,000 donation from a pro–charter school special interest group.

That group, called Students First PA, was largely bankrolled by a trio of Pennsylvania billionaires, including Jeffrey Yass — a major Republican donor who helped fund a PAC that eventually stopped running ads against Shapiro during the 2022 gubernatorial election after he came out in support of vouchers. Shapiro won that race in a walkover against far-right Republican nominee Doug Mastriano, bolstering his national political profile. Another billionaire voucher advocate, Joel Greenberg, cofounder of Susquehanna International Group, served on Shapiro’s gubernatorial transition committee as part of the education policy team.

PA Spotlight has reported that Shapiro’s subsequent retreat on the issue has angered some of the groups tied to Yass, but the entire episode remains a black mark against Shapiro for not just teachers’ unions, but also the likes of the United Auto Workers — whose popular president Shawn Fain has voiced concerns about Shapiro and said he’d like to see Walz or Kentucky governor Andy Beshear join Harris on the ticket. All in all, Shapiro has been happy to play nice with the richest people in his state: he’s currently attempting to accelerate a massive cut in Pennsylvania’s corporate tax rate, arguing, without evidence, that a lower corporate tax rate is key “in order to grow jobs and create more economic opportunity.”

Shapiro has other issues as well. He has drawn renewed scrutiny in recent days for how his office handled a sexual harassment complaint against a former aide. It settled the complaint brought by a female employee for $295,000 of taxpayer money and allowed the aide who was the subject of the complaint to remain in his job for months following the settlement.

A Risky Calculation

There are bright spots in Shapiro’s record. He signed a bill making school breakfasts free for everyone in Pennsylvania, for instance, and took on predatory lenders as attorney general. But the main arguments for Shapiro are electoral: that he is the popular governor of a critical presidential swing state, that he is an effective communicator, and that he’s clearly not a progressive and so might alleviate voters’ concerns about Harris — who herself has been busy disavowing many of her leftmost positions from the 2020 primary.

The issue with those arguments is that there is scant evidence that vice-presidential candidates have any tangible impact on presidential election results, even in their own home states. There is a great deal of reason to believe, however, that the vice-presidential pick stands an excellent chance of ascending to the White House. The last six Democratic vice presidents, from Harris all the way back to Lyndon B. Johnson, all eventually won the Democratic nomination for president.

If Harris wants Shapiro in that position because she believes in his political vision or his capacity to govern alongside her, she should be prepared to lose a degree of the enthusiasm from the younger Democratic voters who have fueled her remarkable success so far. If she is considering Shapiro because she thinks he’s a safe choice who can deliver Pennsylvania, she should think again. The evidence that any vice-presidential candidate can deliver any state is too flimsy — and the stakes of the pick are too high — to elevate someone who is so out of step with so many constituencies.