The Outsize Political Power of Canada’s Western Separatists

Only about a quarter of Albertans support independence. But the threat of rupture nevertheless has pushed Canada’s political class toward accommodation with petro-state grievance politics.

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith addresses the media in Edmonton on July 18, 2025.

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s challenge is to keep separatists within the United Conservative Party fold while reassuring moderate voters that she’s not a threat. This is why she’s opened the door to an independence referendum without bringing one forward, let alone endorsing it herself. (Artur Widak / NurPhoto via Getty Images)


Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, a conspiracy theorist radio host before entering politics, has scheduled a referendum for October on whether the oil-rich Canadian province should hold . . . a future referendum on independence.

Smith, who owes her remarkable comeback from political obscurity to both the pandemic and Alberta’s uniquely oil-fueled grievance politics in equal measure, announced her referendum-within-a-referendum in a May 21 address posted to her YouTube channel.

The announcement came after a year in which her government lowered barriers to a citizen-initiated independence vote, as well as two court decisions that ruled the government must consult with First Nations before engaging in a process that would, by necessity, abrogate their treaties with the federal government if successful.

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